OBR · 8 May 20159 June 2017

Welfare spending forecasts during the Conservative 2015–2017 government

Year ending March 2015Year ending March 2017 · 2 periods

1.3%+£2.8bn £ billion

Welfare spending forecasts rose by 1.3% over the period, from £213.9bn £ billion (Year ending March 2015, the level when the government took office) to £216.7bn (Year ending March 2017, the last complete period before it left office).

  1. Inherited level Year ending March 2015: £213.9bn
  2. Level when it left Year ending March 2017: £216.7bn
  3. method: latest complete period before start / before end

Changes during this period do not by themselves show what the government caused. Statistics reflect many influences, including earlier decisions, the economy and how the data is collected.

Welfare spending forecasts: Year ending March 2011 to Year ending March 2025CoalitionCoalitionConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeLabour0100200300201520202025Year ending March 2011: £197.6bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2012: £205.3bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2013: £213bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2014: £209.3bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2015: £213.9bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2016: £216.3bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2017: £216.7bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2018: £218.8bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2019: £222.5bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2020: £227bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2021: £245.4bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2022: £244.3bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2023: £261.5bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2024: £296.4bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026Year ending March 2025: £314.8bn £ billion · published 26 March 2026

Published valueProvisional or revisedLatestShaded bands: governments (see labels)Hover or use arrow keys to read a value

Definition and caveats

Total welfare spending in cash terms, inside and outside the welfare cap: the outturn as the OBR last knew it, with every official forecast for the same year.

Doesn’t measure: Any single benefit, or the number of claimants.