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Home Office · Immigration system statistics: asylum summary tables

Asylum grant rate at initial decision

Year ending June 2026 Provisional

38.1%

Asylum grant rate at initial decision was 38.1% in the year ending June 2026, down 10.1 percentage points from 48.2% in the year ending June 2025.

▼ −10.1 percentage points against Year ending June 2025 (year on year)

  1. Home Office percentage
  2. Year ending June 2026
  3. published 27 August 2026
  4. Asy_00a
  5. row “Grant rate at initial decision”
  6. column “Year ending June 2026”
  7. cell value 0.3813556589680484

The series is falling. Rule: down 9.4% from 2025 to Year ending June 2026.

2010 to Year ending June 2026

Asylum grant rate at initial decision: 2010 to Year ending June 2026CoalitionCoalitionConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeLabourLabour0%20%40%60%20102015202020252010: 25.7% percent · published 27 August 20262011: 32.5% percent · published 27 August 20262012: 36.1% percent · published 27 August 20262013: 37.7% percent · published 27 August 20262014: 41.2% percent · published 27 August 20262015: 39.9% percent · published 27 August 20262016: 34% percent · published 27 August 20262017: 31.9% percent · published 27 August 20262018: 32.9% percent · published 27 August 20262019: 52% percent · published 27 August 20262020: 46.3% percent · published 27 August 20262021: 72.2% percent · published 27 August 20262022: 75.9% percent · published 27 August 20262023: 67.2% percent · published 27 August 2026Year ending June 2025: 48.2% percent · published 27 August 2026Year ending June 2026: 38.1% percent · published 27 August 2026
Published valueProvisional or revisedLatestOne point a year is drawn; the source publishes overlapping year-ending figures, and every one is in the history table and CSVShaded bands: governments (see labels)Hover or use arrow keys to read a value

What this measures

The percentage of initial decisions on asylum claims from main applicants in a 12-month period that resulted in a grant of protection or other leave. Withdrawn claims are excluded from the calculation.

People often confuse this with

Asylum application ≠ Grant of asylumAn application is a claim lodged; a grant is a decision to give protection or other leave. Decisions are made on claims lodged months or years earlier, so applications and grants in the same year describe different people.
Percentage change ≠ Percentage-point changeA rate moving from 4% to 5% has risen by one percentage point and by 25%. This site describes changes in rates in points, never as a percentage of a percentage.

What this doesn’t measure

Dependants, the outcome of appeals, or the share of all people who claimed asylum who were eventually allowed to stay.

Important caveat

The grant rate is the proportion of initial decisions on claims from main applicants that resulted in a grant of protection or other leave. It excludes dependants and withdrawn claims, and it does not include the outcome of appeals, so the eventual share of claimants allowed to stay is higher. Because it depends on which nationalities' claims were decided in the period, it moves with the mix of cases as well as with policy. Data for 2026 Q1 onwards is provisional.

Revision history

No period of this series has been revised since it was first ingested here. Revisions are recorded automatically when a later release publishes a different figure for the same period.

Source

Publisher
Home Office
Publication
Immigration system statistics: asylum summary tables
Release
Year ending June 2026, published 27 August 2026
Source file
asylum-summary-jun-2026-tables.ods
File SHA-256
f935782ab90190deb04a1a86f7b6ba7515f32e238c14b96c55993f4793096d14
Retrieved
4 September 2026
Sheet
Asy_00a
Table
Asy_00a
Row
Grant rate at initial decision
Column
Year ending June 2026
Cell value
0.3813556589680484 (× 100 = 38.1% percent)
Geography
United Kingdom
Unit
percent
API
/api/metrics/asylum_grant_rate · /series · /vintages

Related metrics

Government periods

Change during each government, from the level inherited to the last complete period before it left office. Describes the period; does not attribute cause.

Labour 2024–67.2%202338.1%Year ending June 2026↓ 43.3%
Conservative 2019–202432.9%201867.2%2023↑ 104.5%
Conservative 2017–201934%201632.9%2018↓ 3.3%
Conservative 2015–201741.2%201434%2016↓ 17.5%

Full comparison with chart

Release
Year ending June 2026 · publication page
Last updated
27 August 2026
Next scheduled release
26 November 2026 (official date)