Civometry

Home Office · Immigration system statistics: asylum claims and initial decisions datasets

Asylum case outcomes by outcome group

2026 Q2 Provisional

22,176people

Asylum case outcomes by outcome group were 22,176 people in 2026 Q2, down 43.3% (16,962) from 39,138 in 2025 Q2.

▼ 43.3% · −16,962 against 2025 Q2 (same quarter previous year)

  1. Home Office count
  2. 2026 Q2
  3. published 27 August 2026
  4. Asy_D02
  5. row “all rows”
  6. column “Decisions”
  7. cell value sum of 2677 rows

The series is falling. Rule: down 43.3% from 2025 Q2 to 2026 Q2.

2001 Q1 to 2026 Q2

Asylum case outcomes by outcome group: 2001 Q1 to 2026 Q2LabourLabourLabourLabourLabourCoalitionCoalitionConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeLabour020k40k201020202001 Q1: 47,984 people · published 27 August 20262001 Q2: 28,858 people · published 27 August 20262001 Q3: 24,148 people · published 27 August 20262001 Q4: 22,358 people · published 27 August 20262002 Q1: 29,025 people · published 27 August 20262002 Q2: 24,455 people · published 27 August 20262002 Q3: 26,507 people · published 27 August 20262002 Q4: 24,957 people · published 27 August 20262003 Q1: 25,925 people · published 27 August 20262003 Q2: 18,612 people · published 27 August 20262003 Q3: 18,499 people · published 27 August 20262003 Q4: 19,169 people · published 27 August 20262004 Q1: 19,231 people · published 27 August 20262004 Q2: 14,553 people · published 27 August 20262004 Q3: 13,969 people · published 27 August 20262004 Q4: 11,160 people · published 27 August 20262005 Q1: 10,496 people · published 27 August 20262005 Q2: 9,492 people · published 27 August 20262005 Q3: 9,020 people · published 27 August 20262005 Q4: 7,643 people · published 27 August 20262006 Q1: 8,450 people · published 27 August 20262006 Q2: 6,529 people · published 27 August 20262006 Q3: 5,981 people · published 27 August 20262006 Q4: 6,574 people · published 27 August 20262007 Q1: 7,721 people · published 27 August 20262007 Q2: 7,669 people · published 27 August 20262007 Q3: 6,793 people · published 27 August 20262007 Q4: 5,895 people · published 27 August 20262008 Q1: 5,770 people · published 27 August 20262008 Q2: 6,813 people · published 27 August 20262008 Q3: 7,376 people · published 27 August 20262008 Q4: 6,843 people · published 27 August 20262009 Q1: 7,242 people · published 27 August 20262009 Q2: 8,033 people · published 27 August 20262009 Q3: 10,359 people · published 27 August 20262009 Q4: 8,883 people · published 27 August 20262010 Q1: 7,752 people · published 27 August 20262010 Q2: 7,422 people · published 27 August 20262010 Q3: 7,237 people · published 27 August 20262010 Q4: 7,100 people · published 27 August 20262011 Q1: 7,137 people · published 27 August 20262011 Q2: 6,046 people · published 27 August 20262011 Q3: 6,218 people · published 27 August 20262011 Q4: 6,001 people · published 27 August 20262012 Q1: 6,569 people · published 27 August 20262012 Q2: 5,655 people · published 27 August 20262012 Q3: 5,835 people · published 27 August 20262012 Q4: 6,102 people · published 27 August 20262013 Q1: 7,495 people · published 27 August 20262013 Q2: 6,971 people · published 27 August 20262013 Q3: 6,130 people · published 27 August 20262013 Q4: 4,515 people · published 27 August 20262014 Q1: 4,175 people · published 27 August 20262014 Q2: 5,257 people · published 27 August 20262014 Q3: 8,783 people · published 27 August 20262014 Q4: 10,183 people · published 27 August 20262015 Q1: 13,825 people · published 27 August 20262015 Q2: 8,741 people · published 27 August 20262015 Q3: 9,220 people · published 27 August 20262015 Q4: 9,523 people · published 27 August 20262016 Q1: 8,912 people · published 27 August 20262016 Q2: 8,289 people · published 27 August 20262016 Q3: 8,537 people · published 27 August 20262016 Q4: 8,491 people · published 27 August 20262017 Q1: 8,495 people · published 27 August 20262017 Q2: 7,235 people · published 27 August 20262017 Q3: 7,545 people · published 27 August 20262017 Q4: 7,992 people · published 27 August 20262018 Q1: 9,238 people · published 27 August 20262018 Q2: 8,052 people · published 27 August 20262018 Q3: 7,764 people · published 27 August 20262018 Q4: 7,431 people · published 27 August 20262019 Q1: 8,437 people · published 27 August 20262019 Q2: 7,667 people · published 27 August 20262019 Q3: 7,834 people · published 27 August 20262019 Q4: 8,200 people · published 27 August 20262020 Q1: 8,264 people · published 27 August 20262020 Q2: 3,908 people · published 27 August 20262020 Q3: 4,127 people · published 27 August 20262020 Q4: 5,731 people · published 27 August 20262021 Q1: 6,073 people · published 27 August 20262021 Q2: 5,686 people · published 27 August 20262021 Q3: 5,001 people · published 27 August 20262021 Q4: 5,412 people · published 27 August 20262022 Q1: 6,865 people · published 27 August 20262022 Q2: 6,388 people · published 27 August 20262022 Q3: 8,706 people · published 27 August 20262022 Q4: 9,115 people · published 27 August 20262023 Q1: 14,199 people · published 27 August 20262023 Q2: 16,027 people · published 27 August 20262023 Q3: 33,009 people · published 27 August 20262023 Q4: 59,086 people · published 27 August 20262024 Q1: 32,584 people · published 27 August 20262024 Q2: 20,928 people · published 27 August 20262024 Q3: 18,455 people · published 27 August 20262024 Q4: 39,976 people · published 27 August 20262025 Q1: 41,319 people · published 27 August 20262025 Q2: 39,138 people · published 27 August 20262025 Q3: 40,909 people · published 27 August 20262025 Q4: 39,364 people · published 27 August 20262026 Q1: 32,035 people · published 27 August 20262026 Q2: 22,176 people · published 27 August 2026
Published valueProvisional or revisedLatestShaded bands: governments (see labels)Hover or use arrow keys to read a value

What this measures

Initial case outcomes on asylum claims (people, main applicants and their dependants) in each quarter, split by outcome group: grant of protection, grant of other leave, refused, withdrawn and administrative outcome.

What this doesn’t measure

Appeal outcomes, or the final share of claimants allowed to stay. The total of all outcome groups includes withdrawals and administrative outcomes, which the summary initial decisions figure (grants plus refusals) excludes.

Important caveat

Outcome groups are summed from the Home Office detailed decisions dataset. The summary "initial decisions" figure counts grants and refusals only; this dataset also records withdrawn claims and administrative outcomes, so the total of all outcome groups is larger than the published initial decisions figure. A grant of protection is refugee permission or humanitarian protection; other leave covers discretionary, UASC and similar grants. Decisions in a quarter relate to claims made earlier. Data for 2026 Q1 onwards is provisional.

Revision history

No period of this series has been revised since it was first ingested here. Revisions are recorded automatically when a later release publishes a different figure for the same period.

Source

Publisher
Home Office
Publication
Immigration system statistics: asylum claims and initial decisions datasets
Release
Year ending June 2026, published 27 August 2026
Source file
asylum-claims-datasets-jun-2026.xlsx
File SHA-256
10788dae8042fdb4f49ce4fc1447335a5cc868df48349969d66185bfda12e02f
Retrieved
2 September 2026
Sheet
Data_Asy_D02
Table
Asy_D02
Row
all rows
Column
Decisions
Cell value
sum of 2677 rows
Geography
United Kingdom
Unit
people
API
/api/metrics/asylum_initial_decisions_by_outcome · /series · /vintages

Government periods

Change during each government, from the level inherited to the last complete period before it left office. Describes the period; does not attribute cause.

Labour 2024–20,9282024 Q222,1762026 Q2↑ 6.0%
Conservative 2019–20247,8342019 Q320,9282024 Q2↑ 167.1%
Conservative 2017–20198,4952017 Q17,8342019 Q3↓ 7.8%
Conservative 2015–201713,8252015 Q18,4952017 Q1↓ 38.6%
Coalition 2010–20157,7522010 Q113,8252015 Q1↑ 78.3%
Labour 2005–201010,4962005 Q17,7522010 Q1↓ 26.1%
Labour 2001–200547,9842001 Q110,4962005 Q1↓ 78.1%

Full comparison with chart

Release
Year ending June 2026 · publication page
Last updated
27 August 2026
Next scheduled release
26 November 2026 (official date)