Civometry

Home Office · nrm case outcome group: Conclusive grounds decision

Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals: Conclusive grounds decision

4 periods to 2025 Q4

3,724 referrals

Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals for Conclusive grounds decision totalled 3,724 referrals in the 4 periods to 2025 Q4, up 87.1% (1,734) on the 4 periods before.

  1. Home Office dataset
  2. Data_IER_D05
  3. all rows; NRM Case Outcome Group=Conclusive grounds decision
  4. column “Referrals”
  5. sum of 111 rows per period
  6. published 27 August 2026

2018 Q3 to 2025 Q4

Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals by outcome: 2018 Q3 to 2025 Q4ConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeLabourLabour05001k20182020202220242018 Q3: 3 referrals · published 27 August 20262018 Q4: 4 referrals · published 27 August 20262019 Q1: 5 referrals · published 27 August 20262019 Q2: 18 referrals · published 27 August 20262019 Q3: 63 referrals · published 27 August 20262019 Q4: 22 referrals · published 27 August 20262020 Q1: 17 referrals · published 27 August 20262020 Q2: 182 referrals · published 27 August 20262020 Q3: 540 referrals · published 27 August 20262020 Q4: 120 referrals · published 27 August 20262021 Q1: 108 referrals · published 27 August 20262021 Q2: 414 referrals · published 27 August 20262021 Q3: 532 referrals · published 27 August 20262021 Q4: 388 referrals · published 27 August 20262022 Q1: 295 referrals · published 27 August 20262022 Q2: 796 referrals · published 27 August 20262022 Q3: 1,118 referrals · published 27 August 20262022 Q4: 290 referrals · published 27 August 20262023 Q1: 94 referrals · published 27 August 20262023 Q2: 361 referrals · published 27 August 20262023 Q3: 692 referrals · published 27 August 20262023 Q4: 197 referrals · published 27 August 20262024 Q1: 356 referrals · published 27 August 20262024 Q2: 455 referrals · published 27 August 20262024 Q3: 596 referrals · published 27 August 20262024 Q4: 583 referrals · published 27 August 20262025 Q1: 496 referrals · published 27 August 20262025 Q2: 1,162 referrals · published 27 August 20262025 Q3: 1,353 referrals · published 27 August 20262025 Q4: 713 referrals · published 27 August 2026
Published valueProvisional or revisedLatestShaded bands: governments (see labels)Hover, tap or use arrow keys to read a value; tap again to unpin
The chart as a table
PeriodModern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals by outcome
2018 Q33 referrals
2018 Q44 referrals
2019 Q15 referrals
2019 Q218 referrals
2019 Q363 referrals
2019 Q422 referrals
2020 Q117 referrals
2020 Q2182 referrals
2020 Q3540 referrals
2020 Q4120 referrals
2021 Q1108 referrals
2021 Q2414 referrals
2021 Q3532 referrals
2021 Q4388 referrals
2022 Q1295 referrals
2022 Q2796 referrals
2022 Q31,118 referrals
2022 Q4290 referrals
2023 Q194 referrals
2023 Q2361 referrals
2023 Q3692 referrals
2023 Q4197 referrals
2024 Q1356 referrals
2024 Q2455 referrals
2024 Q3596 referrals
2024 Q4583 referrals
2025 Q1496 referrals
2025 Q21,162 referrals
2025 Q31,353 referrals
2025 Q4713 referrals

What this measures

The outcomes of National Referral Mechanism referrals for modern slavery raised for people who arrived by small boat, split by outcome group — reasonable grounds decision, conclusive grounds decision, withdrawn or closed, or awaiting a decision — counted in the quarter the person arrived.

Whether a reasonable or conclusive grounds decision was positive or negative, or outcomes for referrals unconnected to small boat arrivals.

Source

Dataset
Immigration system statistics: small boat arrivals, asylum claims and NRM referrals datasets
Release
Year ending June 2026, published 27 August 2026 · sha256 72071ed0ce3777a2…
All values
Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals by nrm case outcome group